Will Democrats win the House while Republicans keep the Senate in the 2026 midterms?
November 5, 2026 · 1 min read
No. As of November 5, 2026 (the day after the election), results and projections show Democrats taking the House *and* the Senate.
The election was held on November 3. Networks and trackers (NBC, CBS, ABC, AP, and others) have projected Democratic control of both chambers. House gains look substantial (projections and partial calls in the 230s or higher for Democrats, well above the 218 needed). In the Senate, Democrats flipped multiple Republican-held seats (reports commonly cite seven, including places like North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Kansas, Maine, Iowa, and South Carolina in various tallies), putting them around 54–44 or similar with a couple of races still outstanding in early counts.
Pre-election forecasts already made the exact split you asked about (Dem House + GOP Senate) a minority outcome. Models generally gave Democrats very high odds on the House (often 90%+) and solid-but-lower odds on the Senate (roughly 60–85% depending on the source). Split-control scenarios existed in the simulations but were secondary to a Democratic sweep of both. Actual results have tracked the stronger Democratic performance.
Final certification will take time, a few races may still be close or unresolved, and the exact seat totals can shift a bit with late counting. But the broad picture from available projections is Democratic majorities in both chambers heading into the next Congress.
