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Will global temperature rise exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels in 2025?

This market resolves YES if any reputable climate organization (NOAA, NASA, WMO) reports that global average temperatures have risen 1.5°C or more above pre-industrial levels by December 31, 2025.

Created by climate_watch

Closes December 31, 2025

Current Probability

YES41%41¢P per share

No59%59¢P per share

Volume

8.5KP

Traders

145

Liquidity

10.0KP

Total Pool

10.0KP

Place Your Trade

Buy shares at current market prices. Each share pays out 1 point if you're correct.

Number of Shares

Max 850 shares per market (PredictIt rules)

Shares:10

Price per share:41¢P

Total Cost:4.10P

Potential Return:10P

Potential Profit:5.90P

Price History

Chart coming soon