Will both Marlon James and Douglas Stuart make the 2026 Booker Prize shortlist?

Question

This market will resolve YES if both “The Disappearers” by Marlon James and “John of John” by Douglas Stuart are included in the official six-book shortlist for the 2026 Booker Prize.

Both books must appear on the final shortlist officially announced by the Booker Prize Foundation.

If only one of the two books is shortlisted, this market resolves NO.

If neither book is shortlisted, this market resolves NO.

The books do not need to subsequently win the Booker Prize.

The longlist status of bo

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 66%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 34%.