Will U.S. retail sales increase by more than 0.2% in August 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services report for August 2026 shows that total U.S. retail and food-services sales increased by strictly more than 0.2% month-over-month from July 2026.

A reported change of exactly +0.2% resolves NO.

The first official August 2026 percentage published by the Census Bureau on September 16, 2026 will determine resolution. Subsequent revisions do not change the outcome.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 48%.