Will Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin win a NASA contract to develop an ISS replacement in the spring 2027 selection?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NASA publicly names Blue Origin as a prime contractor in the initial Commercial Low Earth Orbit Destination Contract selection under solicitation 80JSC027R0004, whose awards NASA currently expects in spring 2027. A qualifying announcement must be issued no later than June 30, 2027 at 23:59 Europe/Madrid. This final date is a contractual postponement limit, not NASA's promised award date.

The question concerns the first award round under this particular competitio

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 38%.