Will the federal court extend the block on Trump's mail-in voting rule beyond September 10, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if, as of September 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM Eastern Time, a federal court order remains in effect preventing the U.S. Postal Service from implementing or enforcing the principal provisions of the mail-in voting rule currently blocked by the temporary restraining order issued by U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani.

A preliminary injunction, renewed temporary restraining order, stay, or other enforceable federal court order that continues to prevent implementation of the

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.