Will the United States and Canada announce a trade agreement before the new U.S. tariffs take effect on August 22?

Question

This market will resolve YES if, before 06:01 CEST on August 22, 2026, the Government of the United States and the Government of Canada publicly announce that they have reached, finalized, agreed in principle to, or formally accepted a bilateral trade agreement that materially addresses the tariff dispute currently under negotiation.

A qualifying announcement must come from an official U.S. or Canadian government source and must state that an agreement has been reached between the two governmen

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 28%.