Will NOAA report bleaching-level heat stress in all three major coral-bearing ocean basins during the second half of 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NOAA Coral Reef Watch data establish that, between July 1 and December 22, 2026, bleaching-level heat stress occurred in qualifying coral reef areas in each of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Ocean basins.

For each basin, at least one monitored coral reef region must reach a NOAA Coral Reef Watch Bleaching Alert Area classification indicating bleaching-level heat stress during the qualifying period.

The three basins do not need to experience bleaching simultane

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 59%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 41%.