Will Sweden's centre-left bloc win a majority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?

Question

This market resolves YES if parties classified as belonging to Sweden's centre-left opposition bloc collectively win at least 175 of the 349 seats in the Riksdag in the September 13, 2026 parliamentary election. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

Swedish Election Authority.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 78%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 22%.