Will the IMF cut its 2026 global growth forecast below 3.0% in the October WEO?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the International Monetary Fund’s first official October 2026 World Economic Outlook publication forecasts real global GDP growth for calendar year 2026 at a rate strictly below 3.0%.

A published forecast of 2.9% or lower qualifies. A forecast of exactly 3.0% or higher resolves NO.

The controlling figure is the IMF’s world-output growth projection for 2026 in the WEO overview or principal global projections table, expressed at the publication’s standard precisio

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 56%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 44%.