Will the official death toll from the Colombia earthquake reach 250 by August 20?

Question

This market resolves YES if Colombian authorities officially confirm 250 or more deaths directly attributable to the August 10, 2026 magnitude-7.4 earthquake by August 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM COT.

The market concerns the cumulative official death toll from this specific earthquake.

Persons reported missing, presumed dead or unaccounted for will not count unless they are officially confirmed dead and included in the earthquake's official death toll.

Deaths occurring after the initial earthquake q

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 38%.