Will the US Supreme Court rule that federal law blocks Boulder’s climate-damages claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Question

This market resolves YES if the US Supreme Court’s disposition in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. County Commissioners of Boulder County, docket 25-170, holds that federal law precludes at least one of the state-law climate-damages claims at issue because the relevant interstate or international emissions are exclusively governed by federal law. Oral argument is scheduled for October 5, 2026; that hearing is not an announced judgment date.

A reversal or vacatur accompanied by that binding federa

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 56%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 44%.