Will Bola Tinubu win Nigeria’s January 16 presidential election?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Bola Ahmed Tinubu is officially declared the winner of Nigeria’s presidential election scheduled for January 16, 2027, including any constitutionally required runoff arising from that election. The market concerns Tinubu personally, not any candidate of the All Progressives Congress, and not simply whether he remains in office during the counting period. The current INEC election calendar and final candidate list supersede earlier timetables showing a different da

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 28%.