Will GAO sustain Rocket Lab’s protest of Blue Origin’s NASA Mars-network award?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the US Government Accountability Office’s first final disposition of Rocket Lab’s September 2026 protest of NASA’s Mars Telecommunications Network award to Blue Origin sustains at least one substantive protest ground.

A decision expressly marked “sustained” or “sustained in part” qualifies even if the GAO recommends reevaluation rather than award to Rocket Lab. The winning contractor need not change immediately. Only this procurement protest counts; stock moves,

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 83%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 17%.