Will Joe Biden’s Promise Me, America debut at No. 1 on the New York Times hardcover nonfiction list?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Promise Me, America by Joe Biden occupies the number-one position on The New York Times Hardcover Nonfiction weekly bestseller list reflecting its first US publication week. Little, Brown has announced November 17, 2026 as the publication date. For that release, the qualifying sales week ends Saturday, November 21; use the list identified by that sales period, not the date when its webpage is first posted or the later Sunday date printed on the list.

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Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 28%.