Will Costco fall at least 3% in the first trading session after its September 24 earnings?

Question

This market resolves YES if Costco Wholesale's common stock, Nasdaq ticker COST, closes at least 3.00% below the comparison close in the first full regular US trading session after the company's fiscal fourth-quarter results scheduled for September 24, 2026 are publicly released.

Let B be the last regular-session closing price before the release and A the closing price of the first regular session whose opening occurs after the release. The condition is 100 × (A / B − 1) ≤ −7.00. If the release

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 71%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 29%.