Will The Mandalorian and Grogu earn a Visual Effects Oscar nomination on January 21?

Question

This market resolves YES if The Mandalorian and Grogu is named in the final Visual Effects nominations announced on January 21, 2027 for the 99th Academy Awards. The nomination may formally list its visual-effects artists; it qualifies when their nominated work is explicitly this film. Being among the preliminary visual-effects contenders, participating in the Academy’s presentation process or receiving a Visual Effects Society award is not enough. A television episode of The Mandalorian cannot

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 68%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 32%.