Will Democrats win the House while Republicans keep the Senate in the 2026 midterms?

Question

Resolves YES if, in the November 3, 2026 U.S. midterm elections, per Associated Press race calls: (1) the Democratic Party holds at least 218 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, AND (2) the Republican Party holds at least 50 U.S. Senate seats, which constitutes Senate control because the Republican Vice President breaks a 50-50 tie. These are resulting whole-chamber totals, counting all 435 House seats and all 100 Senate seats, not only the seats contested in 2026. Senators who caucus wi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.