Will California approve $8.4 billion for immunology research in its November 3 vote?

Question

This market will resolve YES if California voters approve Proposition 38, the initiative authorising $8.4 billion in general-obligation bonds for immunology and immunotherapy research, at the statewide election scheduled for November 3, 2026. Approval must be established by the California Secretary of State's certified statewide result for this specific ballot measure. The question is whether the bond authorisation passes, not whether the money has already been borrowed or spent.

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Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 47%.