Will the November 20 UK–EU summit conclude a carbon-market linking agreement?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the United Kingdom and European Union jointly announce that negotiations on a definitive agreement linking their emissions trading systems have concluded at, or expressly as an outcome of, the bilateral summit scheduled for November 20, 2026 in Brussels. The agreement must connect the UK ETS and EU ETS through mutual recognition or transferability of emissions allowances, creating the substantive basis for linked carbon markets.

An agreed final text, signature or

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.