Will Trump start January 2027 below 40% approval in Economist/YouGov?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump’s job approval among all US adults is strictly below 40% in the first national Economist/YouGov weekly poll published in January 2027.

Use the full adult sample and combine strongly and somewhat approve, or take the report’s published combined approval. Registered-voter and likely-voter columns are not substitutes. Select the poll by public release date in America/New_York, even if fieldwork began in December. A 40% reading resolves NO. A later Janua

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 65%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 35%.