Will the February 12 GDP report put UK growth between 1% and 2% for 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Office for National Statistics reports UK real gross domestic product growth for the whole of 2026 of at least 1.0% but strictly less than 2.0% in its first quarterly estimate for October–December 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027. The annual comparison is calendar-year 2026 against calendar-year 2025. Exactly 1.0% qualifies; exactly 2.0% does not. Any other result outside that interval resolves NO.

Use the annual growth rate in real GDP, based on chained

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 77%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 23%.