Will Trump’s trade investigation formally find India’s industrial overcapacity unfair at its March 11 deadline?

Question

This market will resolve YES if an affirmative final determination by the United States Trade Representative concerning India is in force at 11:59:59 p.m. Washington time on 2027-03-11. It must be a determination under Section 304(a)(1)(A) that the practices examined in the Section 301 investigation into structural excess capacity and production in manufacturing sectors, initiated on March 11, 2026, are unreasonable or discriminatory and burden or restrict United States commerce. An allegation a

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 46%.