Will Americans spend at least $15 billion online on Cyber Monday, November 30?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Adobe reports at least US$15.00 billion in US online consumer spending for Cyber Monday, November 30, 2026, in its Adobe Analytics or Adobe Digital Insights post-event reporting. The amount must cover that shopping day alone. This is not the combined Thanksgiving-to-Cyber-Monday period, Black Friday alone, or the entire November–December holiday season. A published total of exactly US$15.00 billion qualifies.

Use Adobe's national US online-spending estimate and i

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 61%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 39%.