Will MetOp-SG B1 separate successfully after its announced Ariane 6 launch?

Question

This market resolves YES if ESA or EUMETSAT confirms MetOp-SG B1 separated from Ariane 6 and established initial communications following its announced fourth-quarter launch. Launch alone is insufficient; successful separation and first contact are both required. A launch delay follows the mission only through the extended window stated below.

A qualifying action must be public, attributable to the named authority and operational rather than merely discussed. A press report, unnamed-source clai

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 74%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 26%.