Will SpaceX stock move at least 10% in the first full Nasdaq session after Starship Flight 14?

Question

With SpaceX now publicly traded as SPCX, Flight 14 gives investors a direct way to price a major Starship success or failure. This market captures the first full-session shock rather than an arbitrary year-end target.

For settlement, YES means the absolute percentage change between SPCX's official Nasdaq regular-session close immediately before Flight 14 liftoff and its close in the first full regular Nasdaq session that begins after liftoff is at least 10.00%. The calculation is |post-flight c

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 46%.