Will Kevin Warsh say “independent” or “independence” during his Jackson Hole keynote?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh audibly says the standalone English word “independent” or “independence” during his scheduled keynote appearance at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026.

The qualifying appearance is the keynote session listed by the Federal Reserve for 10:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time. The resolution window begins when Warsh starts his substantive remarks and ends when his official keynote appearance concludes.

Eit

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 63%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 37%.