Will Trump's Russia tariff reach 500% at the October 18 Graham Act deadline?

Question

This market will resolve YES if an additional general US ad valorem import duty of at least 500% on goods originating in Russia, imposed under section 112 of Public Law 119-111, is legally in force at 23:59:59 America/New_York on 18 October 2026. This is a measurement of the operative legal rate at the end of the Act's thirty-day implementation window, not a claim that the maximum authorised rate applies automatically.

Use the signed implementing order or proclamation and its effective-date pro

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 36%.