Will SpaceX's Starship Flight 14 successfully launch by September 15, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if SpaceX's Starship Flight 14 successfully lifts off from its launch pad at Starbase, Texas, on or before September 15, 2026 at 23:59:59 local time in Texas (CDT).

For the purposes of this market, a successful launch requires the Starship/Super Heavy vehicle assigned to Flight 14 to physically leave the launch mount under its own propulsion. Once the vehicle has clearly lifted off, subsequent events — including an in-flight anomaly, loss of either stage, failure to

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 79%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 21%.