Will Webb’s next TRAPPIST-1 e follow-up establish an atmosphere?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the first peer-reviewed follow-up from the additional fifteen-observation Webb campaign on TRAPPIST-1 e, publicly described by NASA, ESA or STScI after this market closes, explicitly concludes that an atmosphere has been detected rather than merely remaining compatible with the data.

The study must analyse new campaign observations beyond the initial four-transit analysis and distinguish the planetary signal from stellar contamination. No claim of oxygen, liquid

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 64%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 36%.