Will Rob Sand win Iowa's 2026 gubernatorial election?

Question

This market resolves YES if Rob Sand is officially certified as elected to Governor of Iowa in Iowa's November 3, 2026 general election. The comparison is the legal election outcome for that office, not polling, election-night projections, party control of another chamber, or the winner of the statewide popular vote for a different contest.

Votes counted under the jurisdiction's ordinary canvass, recount and cure procedures all count. A candidate remains the same candidate after a ballot-label

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 49%.