Will the advance estimate of annualised U.S. real GDP growth for Q3 2026 be at least 2.0%?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the condition below is satisfied according to the designated source.

YES

The first official release reports annualised real-GDP growth from the preceding quarter at least 2.0%.

NO

The reported value is below the threshold. Equality counts as YES only for an “at least” threshold.

Special cases

Official corrections published before Problyx resolution control. If the event is cancelled and not completed within 30 days, cancel the market.

Primary resolution sou

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 47%.