Will the EIA keep its 2026 Brent forecast at or above $87 in the October STEO?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the October 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts the annual average Brent crude oil spot price for calendar year 2026 at $87.00 per barrel or higher.

The controlling figure is the EIA’s annual 2026 Brent crude oil spot-price forecast shown in the October STEO summary table or corresponding energy-price table.

A forecast of exactly $87.00 resolves YES. Any forecast below $87.00 resolves NO.

Quarterly Br

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.