Will France's National Assembly pass the "Rioters Pay" bill before November 15, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if France's National Assembly formally approves, through a favourable plenary vote, the bill known as "Casseurs-payeurs" ("Rioters Pay"), concerning compensation for damage caused during public disorder and the recovery of related damages, before November 15, 2026, at 00:00 CET.

The bill was approved by the French Senate on October 27, 2026, by 229 votes to 105 and is awaiting further consideration in the National Assembly.

A YES resolution requires approval of the bil

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 38%.