Will NASA advance its crewed Moon-landing target to 2027 at the October 23 Artemis briefing?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NASA formally announces, during its Artemis programme briefing scheduled for October 23, 2026, or in official material expressly released for that briefing, that its adopted target for the first crewed Artemis landing on the lunar surface is calendar year 2027. The announcement, not the eventual landing, is the event being judged. NASA's October 14 advisory describes the existing return-to-the-surface objective as 2028 and separately describes Artemis III as a low

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 18%.