Will U.S. real GDP growth exceed 2.5% in Q3 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the advance estimate of the annualized quarter-over-quarter percentage change in U.S. real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter of 2026, as initially published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), is strictly greater than 2.5%.

This market resolves NO if the initially reported annualized real GDP growth rate is 2.5% or lower, including a reading exactly equal to 2.5% or any negative value.

Only the Advance Estimate of Q3 2026 real GDP schedul

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 47%.