Will Christie’s beat Sotheby’s for the most expensive artwork in the 2026 auction roundup?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the highest publicly auctioned fine-art lot sold by Christie’s during calendar year 2026 has a strictly higher realised price than the highest qualifying lot sold by Sotheby’s in that same year. This compares individual artworks, not the auction houses’ revenue or combined sales.

Include the buyer’s premium, exclude taxes, and use the US-dollar equivalent published by the selling house at the sale. Paintings, sculpture and fine-art works qualify; jewellery, cars,

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.