Will Trump and Xi announce an AI-chip export agreement at the September state visit?

Question

This market resolves YES if the United States and China issue a joint or mutually acknowledged agreement during Xi Jinping's September 24 state visit that changes licensing, quantity or destination rules for exports of advanced AI accelerators to China. General dialogue, a future negotiation, tariff agreement without chip provisions or unilateral remarks disputed by the other government do not qualify.

A qualifying action must be public, attributable to the named authority and operational rathe

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 66%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 34%.