Will Starship Flight 14 deploy at least one Starlink satellite into Earth orbit?

Question

This market resolves YES if SpaceX confirms that Starship Flight 14 has released at least one actual Starlink satellite into Earth orbit, separate from the Starship vehicle. The market concerns the payload deployment on this numbered flight, not merely whether the rocket launches in its initially advertised September window.

An operational satellite or a satellite intended for subsequent commissioning qualifies. A dummy payload, a simulated deployment, opening the payload door without releasing

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.