Will NOAA report record upper-ocean heat for 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if NOAA NCEI’s annual global ocean heat-content series for the upper 0–700 metres places calendar year 2026 strictly above every earlier calendar year in the same published series.

This is heat stored through the upper 700 metres, not sea-surface temperature, air temperature, a single basin or the separate 0–2000 m series. Compare annual global values using the same baseline and version; changing anomaly units does not change a ranking if the transformation is consi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 18%.