Will France’s Senate approve the 2027 state budget in its December 9 first-reading vote?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the French Senate formally adopts the entire 2027 finance bill, Projet de loi de finances pour 2027, at the conclusion of its first reading scheduled to end with the December 9, 2026 public vote.

The relevant bill is the state finance bill originating as National Assembly bill 3210. This is not the separate social-security financing bill, a supplementary 2026 budget or the final parliamentary enactment. An amended Senate version qualifies. A vote on revenue alone

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 75%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 25%.