Will the winning margin at the 2026 Dutch GP be under 5 seconds?

Question

Resolves YES if the official FIA final classification records a gap between first and second place of strictly less than 5.000 seconds.

A margin of exactly 5.000 seconds resolves NO. An official gap of 4.999 seconds resolves YES.

If the race finishes under Safety Car, Virtual Safety Car or following a red-flag restart, the official classified gap still controls.

If second place is shown as “+1 lap” or more rather than a time difference, this market resolves NO.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 46%.