Will a hurricane make landfall in the contiguous United States before September 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if at least one tropical cyclone officially classified as a hurricane, Category 1 or higher, makes landfall in the contiguous United States between market creation and August 31, 2026 at 23:59 CEST. A qualifying landfall occurs when the surface center of the tropical cyclone intersects the coastline while the storm has maximum sustained winds of at least 74 mph, according to an official National Hurricane Center advisory.

A tropical cyclone reaching hurricane strength o

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 71%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 29%.