Will Meta win an injunction against California’s new under-16 addictive-feed ban?

Question

This market will resolve YES if a US federal court grants Meta preliminary injunctive relief that prevents California from enforcing AB 1709’s prohibition on providing addictive feed features to users under sixteen against at least one of Meta’s covered social-media services. Measure the first substantive ruling on Meta’s request for a preliminary injunction in the challenge filed in November 2026, not a separate earlier challenge to SB 976.

The order must restrain enforcement of the core under

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.