Will Brazil’s December 2 GDP report show a Q3 contraction of 0.1%–0.3%?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Brazil's first official estimate of real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2026, compared with the immediately preceding quarter and seasonally adjusted, is between minus 0.3% and minus 0.1%, inclusive. The relevant IBGE quarterly national-accounts release is scheduled for December 2, 2026. Readings of minus 0.3%, minus 0.2% or minus 0.1% qualify. Zero growth, positive growth or a contraction larger than 0.3% resolves NO.

The question concerns GDP at market pric

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 55%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 45%.