Will the 2027 London Marathon winner run faster than Sawe’s 1:59:30?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the official winner of the elite men's running race at the 2027 TCS London Marathon records a finishing time strictly faster than 1 hour, 59 minutes and 30 seconds. The organiser has scheduled this race for Saturday, April 24, as part of its two-day 2027 edition. The threshold is the fixed time achieved by Sabastian Sawe in London in 2026; it does not change if another athlete improves the world record before this race.

Use the official gun time in the organiser'

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 28%.