Will Rocket Lab make at least eight orbital Electron launches in Q1 2027?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Rocket Lab completes at least 8 eligible orbital launch attempts during January 1 through March 31,2027, with liftoff timestamps measured in UTC.

Only orbital Electron missions count. HASTE suborbital launches, Neutron flights and satellites built by Rocket Lab but launched by another operator are excluded. New Zealand and Virginia Electron launches are both eligible. Count one launch per rocket that actually lifts off on an intended orbital mission, regardless o

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 55%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 45%.