Will the Supreme Court let the USPS Election Mail rule take effect for the midterms?

Question

This market resolves YES if the U.S. Supreme Court denies the pending stay request or otherwise leaves the USPS rule legally operative for ballots mailed in the November 3 federal election. A written order controlling the rule's applicability to the 2026 federal election is required. Procedural scheduling or a request for further briefing is not a merits outcome.

A qualifying action must be public, attributable to the named authority and operational rather than merely discussed. A press report,

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 46%.