Will Spain’s La bola negra win International Feature Film at the March 14 Oscars?

Question

This market will resolve YES if La bola negra, also marketed as The Black Ball, wins International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Only the named competitive category at this specific edition counts. This is a forecast of the eventual official result, not a statement that the candidate has already secured a nomination or met every eligibility requirement.

The Spanish Film Academy identifies the Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi film as Spain’s submission. National selection is not an Os

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 82%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 18%.