Will ASML lift its 2030 revenue outlook above €60 billion at its June 10 Capital Markets Day?

Question

This market will resolve YES if ASML publishes, as part of its Capital Markets Day scheduled for June 10, 2027, an official revenue opportunity, outlook or target for the 2030 financial year whose upper bound is strictly greater than €60 billion. The comparison is with the upper end of the previously published €44–60 billion 2030 revenue opportunity. An upper bound equal to €60 billion does not qualify.

A revised range such as €55–65 billion qualifies because its upper bound exceeds the thresho

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 28%.